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Predictions for hurricane season revised upward

There have been some changes. Hurricane season began this past Saturday, and forecasters are now increasing their predictions slightly for the possibility of a hurricane making landfall in the United States this year. Researchers at Colorado State University have released their revised forecast for the 2019 hurricane season that runs from June 1 through November 30. According to their new predictions for 2019, there still will be 13 named tropical storms this year. However, those researches now say six of those storms may reach hurricane force. That is up one from their previous predictions. The Colorado State forecasters predict two of those storms will reach major status with sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour. A major hurricane constitutes a Category 3 or higher on the widely accepted Saffir-Simpson Scale. This year’s prediction compares to the 50-year median of 12 storms per year with 2.3 reaching category 3 or higher. The experts at Colorado State University now say there is a 54 percent chance that at least one major hurricane will make landfall in the U.S. this year. That is slightly higher than the 52 percent average for the last half century. So, what about predictions for our area? In their latest forecast model, these same experts now predict the Gulf Coast - from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville in Texas – has a 31 percent chance of being struck by a major hurricane. The 50-year average is 30 percent. Once more, hurricane season began Monday, and forecasters now say this year’s hurricane season will compare to an average year. That prediction is up slightly from earlier forecasts. Experts remind coastal residents it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. With that in mind, now is the time to prepare for that possibility. For helpful tips, supply lists and emergency preparation information, go to our homepage at kshn.com and click on disaster preparation under the local information tab.

 

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